2016 Oscar Predictions

I’m really late this year but here goes. I know I probably say this every year, but this year’s race is probably one of the most competitive in recent history; almost all the major categories could go any possible way, which is somewhat terrifying. Thanks to the most WTF nominations – for lack of a better way of putting it – it seems the Oscars are just getting whiter and wider (open, I mean). As usual, images are of my personal picks, not of the ones that will win because my blog, my rules.

Best Picture

spotlight film rachel mcadams michael keaton mark ruffalo liev schrieber brian d'arcy james newroomsource

What will win: The Revenant
What I want to win: Spotlight

Spotlight is such journo porn, and as a journo I of course loved it, but all biases aside because I’m a journo and #objectivity, Spotlight may not be an All the President’s Men but it sheds light on some important issues including the power of religion and institutions and the crucial role of journalism in holding those in power accountable. The only downside to this movie is just how long and sombre it is, but that can also be said of The Revenant. The Revenant is a good film, but I’m not a fan of the whole man vs. nature story, and to cut a really long film short, this is NOTHING compared to Iñárritu’s Birdman, a tour de force. A part of me also really hopes underdog Mad Max: Fury Road wins because it was easily one of the best films I watched all year.

Best Director

mad max fury road tom hardy charlize theron car gunssource

Who will win: Alejandro Iñárritu, The Revenant
Who I want to win: George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road

Where is Ridley Scott? It’s hard to forget this egregious snub as I would have loved to see him finally take home a long overdue Best Director trophy (no he shockingly doesn’t have one and is the Leo of the Best Director world). Ridley aside, out of the nominees, I’d pick George Miller, but as one critic put it, Iñárritu is a force to be reckoned with.

Best Actor

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Who will win: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Who I want to win: Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs

I THOUGHT THIS DAY WOULD NEVER COME, AND I WOULD NEVER TYPE THE WORDS: LEONARDO DICAPRIO IS GOING TO WIN AN OSCAR. Except it’s for the wrong movie. Leo was dedicated all right, I’m not going to dispute that (or the bear), but The Revenant is probably one of his least powerful performances to date. A win for any other performance, in particular a Scorsese collab (The Aviator or The Wolf of Wall Street) would have been so much more significant. Fassbender, on the other hand, displayed depth and versatility, morphing into a character that not only demands the audience figure out whether they really root for but also makes them forget they’re watching Michael Fassbender (of all people). Sadly, that same versatility and perhaps a lack of a trademark may be part of the reason one of the most talented actors of our generation is often overlooked by the public. ALSO I CRIED OK.

Best Actress

Jacob Tremblay and Brie Larson in "Room" from EPK.tvsource

Who will win: Brie Larson, Room
Who I want to win: Brie Larson, Room

It was so refreshing to see for once such three dimensional female characters that made this category so much more competitive than the Best Actor and Supporting Actor races. All these actresses are amazing, but through process of elimination – Cate Blanchett’s performance in Carol is no Blue Jasmine, I can’t with Charlotte Rampling after her reverse racism comments, J. Law’s already got her Oscar, and I haven’t seen Brooklyn but Saoirse Ronan hasn’t won an award this season – both my head and heart say Brie Larson deserves this.

Best Supporting Actor

mark rylance bridge of spies tom hankssource

Who will win: Sylvestor Stallone, Creed
Who I want to win:
Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies

This category is historically known for being the most competitive, and it’s surprising to see that it’s probably the most boring one this year. I’ve only seen two of the five movies, so whatever, Sly’s gonna win (much to my chagrin) because the Academy is sentimental and loves a comeback. I don’t really want anyone else to win except for Idris Elba, and I’m honestly still made he wasn’t even nominated but critics loved Mark Rylance so I’ll just go with that.

Best Supporting Actress

alicia vikander the danish girlsource

Who will win: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Who I want to win: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl

The Academy could really go either way with perennial favourite Kate Winslet or newcomer Alicia Vikander. Kate was good in Steve Jobs, so I wouldn’t be too upset if she won, but Alicia Vikander is the true star in this category. Her work in The Danish Girl was a leading performance – truly great one at that – and honestly this is her year; not only is she everywhere, she was great in Ex Machina, which she really should have been nominated for in this category instead.

Best Original Screenplay

inside out emotions pixarsource

What will win: Spotlight
What I want to win: Inside Out

To me, Inside Out is a truly ‘original’ movie. The concept in itself – what if feelings had feelings? – is so out-of-the-box, and the story and characters only made it even better. I’m guessing Spotlight will take this though as it deserves some form of recognition.

Best Adapted Screenplay

matt damon the martian ridley scott marssource

What will win: The Big Short
What I want to win: The Martian

I have yet to watch The Big Short so this is an educated guess based on reading multiple reviews and predictions. I’d love for The Martin to win though; it was so refreshingly different and optimistic.

Best Animated Feature

inside out emotions marshmallowssource

What will win: Inside Out
What I want to win: Inside Out

Duh.

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